Should we trust the polls?

First, always trust the Poles. We would never have won the Revolutionary War without Casimir Pulaski, the father of the American cavalry, and Tadeusz Kościuszko, father of the Corps of Engineers.

But polls are different. They have devolved in America from measuring public opinion to trying to persuade it. They have deteriorated since Donald Trump entered the 2016 race to the point where no Trump supporter would ever trust them again.

But should we?

Donald Trump woke up on Wednesday, his 77th birthday, to a 2-point lead over Biden in the Real Clear Politics average of polls. As puny as that lead may seem, it is as rare as a Democrat refusing to play the pronoun game.

But four years earlier, the Real Clear Politics average of polls showed Biden with an 8.8-point lead.

A 10-point swing in polls in four years does not suggest he is a shoo-in but it is encouraging because it reflects a rejection of Biden by voters. Maybe Democrats will replace him with Gavin Newsom, Brylcreem’s biggest customer.

The prospect of the return of Trump made Frank Luntz — Kevin McCarthy’s roommate and Trump envier — wet himself.

In London, the tub of lard told what passes for conservatives in England, that, “I now have to acknowledge that it is a distinct possibility that Donald Trump could be elected president — I did not believe that one year ago.

“I did not believe that the search of Mar-a-Lago would be handled so badly, I did not believe that the indictment of him in New York would be handled so badly.

“I did not believe that his opponents would be so inept as to actually strengthen him and the combination of all of those makes him now viable, not just in the Republican primary but in the general election.”

That 15% chance seems to be the official RINO number, as Kurt Schlichter tweeted, “Trump will lose in the general and if we nominate him we will elect a Democrat. Then he will go to jail on these bogus charges instead of being pardoned.

“85% chance of losing. Another miracle could happen, but it’s dumb to double down on ’16 when the dealer has a king showing.”

As Catturd says on Twitter: Don’t Care, Still Voting Trump.

Luntz is in a panic over 15%, which tells me the odds are higher than DC will admit.

Luntz’s panic reflects a The Jig Is Up fear by the Establishment.

He said, “It’s now conceivable that in 2024 the country comes apart. We have a 15% likelihood of that destroying American democracy depending on what happens.

“NATO is in jeopardy, clearly. Ukraine will no longer receive American support. Our legal system will be in jeopardy — I don’t want to contemplate it.”

NATO should be in jeopardy and abandoned. We set it up to protect Western Europe from the USSR by promising to nuke Moscow if it dared stage a military attack. The USSR is long gone but the bureaucracy and the war machine it finances live on. Instead of disbanding, NATO expanded.

As for Ukraine, its government demands tribute from western nations in a manner not seen since Rome conquered France, Germany and England. Its comedian-turned-despot leader DEMANDS billions and military equipment that his conscripts cannot handle.

Forbes reported, “The Ukrainian Army Has Already Lost Half Of Its Unique Leopard 2R Breaching Vehicles.”

The National Pulse reported, “15% of U.S.-Made Bradleys Already Destroyed in Ukraine.”

The makers of Bradleys cheer because every Bradley destroyed means the USA will buy a replacement.

This is why conservative — true conservatives, not DC phonies like Luntz — oppose this war. We are becoming anti-government, anti-war hippies without the love beads as our eyes open to the excesses of and abuses by the deep state.

Luntz the Putz mentioned the illegal raid on Mar-a-Lago and the nonsensical indictment of Trump in New York City. He said they were mishandled.

No, they were despotic. They were the politicization of a criminal justice system that

• Ignored Obama using the FBI to spy on a political opponent.

• Forgave Hillary selling state secrets in 33,000 emails to foreign donors to her fake charity.

• Aided the coverup of Biden’s acceptance of millions in foreign bribes as he sold the nation out.

Trump supporters see it. Millions of other voters now sense it.

As America recovers from the pandemic propaganda poison, people have lost faith in the government and the media.

Good.

Neither is worthy of our trust. For decades they lied. The vaccines were not vaccines because they filed to stop the spread of covid and gave immunity for weeks, not years.

More and more people realize the media now works for the government. The FBI paid Twitter millions to help it throw the 2020 election by covering up Hunter Biden’s laptop. That’s right. Instead of investigating the laptop, Blubber Boy Bill Barr not only sat on it with his Ballooning Butt but used taxpayer money to pay people to censor the New York Post.

They threw the 2020 election but seem frightened that they cannot do it again in 2024, hence they are giving him a small lead in the polls. It cannot be to promote his nomination in an effort to stop Republicans because that backfired in 2016.

Maybe the fear is Republicans learned to ballot harvest.

Or maybe support for Trump now is beyond the Margin of Cheating. Unfair indictments can backfire.