I say remember the words of Alfred E. Newman of Mad Magazine, "What, me worry?" Yesterday, Trump finally gave a speech where he stuck to the facts. Reading from a 3-ring binder, he stayed on message. No bragging, nothing was the "greatest in history," or "the biggest and the best, a record!." Admittedly, it was a dry performance, but it nailed every point that has to be nailed. Stay with it, Donald. No more bloviating. and a landslide victory is inevitable..
I totally agree about his stamina to stand out there and just recite facts for over an hour, and then take questions with unscripted replies for another 20 to 30 minutes. The bloviating doesn't bother me though. I think it pisses off the portion of the left who will never deviate from their wicked agenda. Mocking them never gets old.
AGREE! Mocking them never gets old! I SO ADORE HIS RIFTS!! BE THE DON! Those undecidedo's at this point are too dumb to vote, so likely they will vote for MAMALA! Too timid to COME TO PAPA!
But hey, since this race is seemingly about the "free stuff" give aways....I want this one:
SCHOOL CHOICE! DEFUND DEPT. OF INDOCTRINATION/EDU!
20K tax credit for every child to get a Clinton/Obama/Bush girl elite level CLASSIC education or learn a trade school....let the money follow the backpack!!! Put VIVEK in charge of dumping it! MAKE FAMILY TIME HAPPY AGAIN!
The problem with the polling surge is that while Harris seems to have topped out at around +1 on the overall. She trails in every battle ground save Michigan. That is not good enough.
Coming out with a price control suggestion just means that more of the big money will run to Trump, making sure everyone remembers how dumb that, and all her other ideas are.
Harris just came out with a proposal for $25K fed assistance for first time home buyers. Just a coincidence it is right before the election though. /sarc
Donald, You only need to appeal to independents and undecideds.
Sell America.
Sell policy.
Sell your plan.
Stay off the defensive
Speak the way you spoke to the RNC.
Not enough people have seen that Donald J Trump.
AND NO PERSONAL ATTACKS. Kamala Harris wants to be seen as an underdog. Underdogs get sympathy. And votes. Don’t fall for the trap. NO PERSONAL ATTACKS.
Written differently, as carbuncle, it's a pus-filled abscess formed around a hair follicle. Regardless, I remain mystified by references like Danimal's that may originate from some popular obsession I've never shared.
Don Surber (08/16/24): "My guess is Democrats paid Paddy Power to pay off the bets to make Hillary look inevitable." !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Perhaps not. Then again, if they did, let's complete the picture.
The Democrats offered whatever amount it would cost Paddy Power to pay off the Hillary bettors before the election.
Paddy Power: "Do we look like we just fell off the turnip wagon?!
"If we pay off the Clinton bets and she happens to LOSE, then we have to also pay off the TRUMP bets.
"Our total liability is 'X.' If you want to make this deal, you have to pay us 'X' --- what we will pay to the Clinton backers, and then after the election, what we'll owe to the Trump betters if he wins. AND the vig."
In reality, PP DID pay everyone off. The Clinton bets before the election, and the Trump bets after the election.
Not their finest hour. But given the huge soccer betting pools and the permanent House Edge ("The customer is always wrong"), their losing political bets are probably rounding errors.
Each election cycle, I used to ask my poor patients who they liked in the election. Rich people’s votes are predictable: Lawyers et al favor Dems generally, Doctors generally support republicans. Obviously there are exceptions, yet poor people give me a sense of what common sense is saying. With Obama, the people loved him in 08/12 though some favored Romney in 12. In 16 it was 90%+ with Trump, there were a few Clinton supporters in the clinic, but I knew Trump had it. To me no surprise. Same in 20, there was zero.zero Biden supporters among the poor. That’s how I knew 20 was a fix. This year once again, there was zero support for the old Coot Biden and surprisingly none for Kankles Kamala. The people know. Unlike 20, if Trump loses from the anger out there I suspect a Louis XVI awaits those that install another usurper. FJB
"JUST IN: Kamala Harris hits all-time high on political betting site Polymarket despite new polling data showing Trump outperforming himself compared to 2020."
If these polling/betting sites keep topping their previous score to make their headlines, they will run out of registered voters and kill their "perceived" legitimacy. Trump received 62M votes in 2016, 75M votes in 2020, which was exceeded by Biden's supposed 81M votes.
As these numbers explode, it is easier to understand why the Dems are importing so many illegals. They have to keep up this scam because their made-up fake votes will soon exceed the US voter population.
EVERYTHING is about money in the media and political world.............everything. Anyone who thinks that polling is not corrupted and targeted to a specific result is just not paying attention. As a marketing friend of mine puts it, words matter, and changing one word in a poll or marketing campaign can give you a different result. The only poll that matters is the one on election day.
I never heard of Polymarket until hearing Clay Travis discuss it. At first I thought this was going to be some sort of "wisdom of the crowd" platform. But after Act Blue's scam of hiding hundreds of millions of dollars in illegal donations by faking small dollar donations, I now think the Dims are likely manipulating this as well.
"Wasn’t that the NBA finals that Harry Enten said Trump had a better chance of winning than he did winning the presidency? He no longer works at 538. CNN hired him."
There is much talk about “fear porn”, etc, especially since c*vid. Poll Porn ranks right up there now in it’s own category. If the sheeple are barraged long enough with propaganda, including tiresome “polls”, they reckon it’ll wear us down. But when you cry wolf too many times, people stop listening.
Polls are like climate change models. They tell you what the poll taker wants the outcome to be by designing the questions or skewing the demographics.
I remember in 2016 having lunch with my depressed Democrat friend and telling him that his party will learn the lesson of the recount in Detroit where the first two wards they wanted to recount had 110% of the registered voters voted. The judge refused to let the recount go forward. I told him it was clear the Dems cheated but they believed the polls and didn’t cheat enough. They would not let that happen again. And so we had the funky 2020 counting. Will the Republicans learn this time?
I doubt we will learn anything from 2020. People believe what they want to believe and too many people are scared to admit that our sacred elections are able to be manipulated, so they pretend it isn't happening. But some of the manipulation is right in front of us. Zuckerberg spends $100M to help pay for elections in certain states. Really? They couldn't run elections in those states with the resources they already had via taxes? Come on folks, money buys elections today. It takes a billion dollars to elect a person president. Where did that money actually get spent?
Way to bring it Mr.Surber !! The msm is rolling out a new poll every day telling us cackles and tampon are steam rollers and we are asphalt so just lie down and take it. PDJT and JDV take questions anywhere ,anytime from anyone only to have the answers contorted and edited for release.Thank you,Elon, Tucker, and many others for the factual TRUTH and no-spin reminders the voters need to vote as if we are down by twenty %.Make this a MAGA too BIG to RIG victory and treats to Dr.Cat.
"Wasn’t that the NBA finals that Harry Enten said Trump had a better chance of winning than he did winning the presidency? He no longer works at 538. CNN hired him."
Polls are academic and should be taken and viewed like any other statistic: with a large dollop of salt, as you point out above. The other problem is no one can poll all the dead people, illegal aliens, multiple episode voters, and machine hardware and software switching/deleting/adding features that are systemic to all machines who will be voting. My guess is that, with the exception of a few states and locales, the average "R" has to be leading by at least 7-10 points in the polling before the election to win.
Polls that are run with scientific rigor to reduce sources of bias can provide predictive insight significantly better than a guess, but they are all lagging measures of attitude and opinion which can change in one day after the poll in response to a significant event.
There are many pollsters, most of whom aren’t worth a bowl of spit, but I believe one of the best managed polling organizations is Rasmussen Reports. Again, a poll reports PREVIOUSLY held opinions from days or weeks ago so take them with a grain of salt. But, there are a few good ones that are usable for trending analysis. I trust Rasmussen.
"Wasn’t that the NBA finals that Harry Enten said Trump had a better chance of winning than he did winning the presidency? He no longer works at 538. CNN hired him."
No human has ever been able to successfully predict a future outcome with 100% accuracy. But many humans have successfully affected a future outcome, both good and bad. All it takes is the intent and the resources.
I've always wondered why we don't cheat like the Dems do? If that's the way the game is played, let the fun begin. We're late to the game but it looks like we're finally ramping up the conservative lawfare effort. That bookie halftime pearl of wisdom applies to us.
We don't because we still have a modicum of morality and ethics........................and we don't want to be Democrats. If that ever changes, the country will be no more. Like the eternal battle between good and evil, there are always those that deceive and those that fight for their beliefs.
Polls and at the polls. My feeling is that Democrats have NOT legitimately won a national election in decades. They have always manipulated the inner city vote to swing elections.
Communicating effectively depends on clarity. Clarity dims when writers use bad grammar, punctuation and spelling -- and you just committed all three offenses, causing harm as well as foul.
There you go again-do you really think I don't know the difference between fowl and foul? You call it harm, I call it bad manners-Punctuation-your on you're own.
Aren't strippers the people work in pit mines recovering coal? You know, the guys who get to a titty bar, see a sign that says " no minors allowed" and file a grievance with the union?
This is how I feel all the time, the driver of my cognitive dissonance, like what the hell happened to our country?! : But bear in mind the news is all an illusion now. Maybe it always was.
They've lied for so long and I spent a lot of my life believing them. They did used to be better, like the old clips of outing Biden for lying about his grades in law school and plagiarizing. How anyone can believe them now is mind-blowing.
I say remember the words of Alfred E. Newman of Mad Magazine, "What, me worry?" Yesterday, Trump finally gave a speech where he stuck to the facts. Reading from a 3-ring binder, he stayed on message. No bragging, nothing was the "greatest in history," or "the biggest and the best, a record!." Admittedly, it was a dry performance, but it nailed every point that has to be nailed. Stay with it, Donald. No more bloviating. and a landslide victory is inevitable..
I totally agree about his stamina to stand out there and just recite facts for over an hour, and then take questions with unscripted replies for another 20 to 30 minutes. The bloviating doesn't bother me though. I think it pisses off the portion of the left who will never deviate from their wicked agenda. Mocking them never gets old.
AGREE! Mocking them never gets old! I SO ADORE HIS RIFTS!! BE THE DON! Those undecidedo's at this point are too dumb to vote, so likely they will vote for MAMALA! Too timid to COME TO PAPA!
But hey, since this race is seemingly about the "free stuff" give aways....I want this one:
SCHOOL CHOICE! DEFUND DEPT. OF INDOCTRINATION/EDU!
20K tax credit for every child to get a Clinton/Obama/Bush girl elite level CLASSIC education or learn a trade school....let the money follow the backpack!!! Put VIVEK in charge of dumping it! MAKE FAMILY TIME HAPPY AGAIN!
https://kunstler.com/clusterfuck-nation/the-no-prisoners-end-of-the-road-election/
Plus did you see the huge percentage of the audience listening & viewing the conversation between DJT & Musk was under 35!
Yes--fantastic!! 77%.
The problem with the polling surge is that while Harris seems to have topped out at around +1 on the overall. She trails in every battle ground save Michigan. That is not good enough.
Coming out with a price control suggestion just means that more of the big money will run to Trump, making sure everyone remembers how dumb that, and all her other ideas are.
Harris just came out with a proposal for $25K fed assistance for first time home buyers. Just a coincidence it is right before the election though. /sarc
If these prognosticators & bookies manufactured commodes, they’d function as fountains.
Donald, You only need to appeal to independents and undecideds.
Sell America.
Sell policy.
Sell your plan.
Stay off the defensive
Speak the way you spoke to the RNC.
Not enough people have seen that Donald J Trump.
AND NO PERSONAL ATTACKS. Kamala Harris wants to be seen as an underdog. Underdogs get sympathy. And votes. Don’t fall for the trap. NO PERSONAL ATTACKS.
Don't mention her at all. Address the policies and positions she has held and the disastrous results.
Bring up obamunism and how it has driven up costs especially medical insurance.
When it comes to the debates, he needs to accurately point out how her record of failure makes Barry look like an amateur.
Don't forget Fester Bestertester... :-D
And right on cue, Harris came out with the price gouging whopper. DJT doesn’t have to call anyone names. They will indict themselves.
Who is Fester Bestertester?
you had to have read Mad Magazine for that reference
Who is Karbunkle?
The answer to your question is "Kookamunga Harris."
Written differently, as carbuncle, it's a pus-filled abscess formed around a hair follicle. Regardless, I remain mystified by references like Danimal's that may originate from some popular obsession I've never shared.
It’s a cartoon character.
In the words of my bookie, "Nothing is less important than the score of a game at halftime."
Don Surber (08/16/24): "My guess is Democrats paid Paddy Power to pay off the bets to make Hillary look inevitable." !!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Perhaps not. Then again, if they did, let's complete the picture.
The Democrats offered whatever amount it would cost Paddy Power to pay off the Hillary bettors before the election.
Paddy Power: "Do we look like we just fell off the turnip wagon?!
"If we pay off the Clinton bets and she happens to LOSE, then we have to also pay off the TRUMP bets.
"Our total liability is 'X.' If you want to make this deal, you have to pay us 'X' --- what we will pay to the Clinton backers, and then after the election, what we'll owe to the Trump betters if he wins. AND the vig."
In reality, PP DID pay everyone off. The Clinton bets before the election, and the Trump bets after the election.
Not their finest hour. But given the huge soccer betting pools and the permanent House Edge ("The customer is always wrong"), their losing political bets are probably rounding errors.
Each election cycle, I used to ask my poor patients who they liked in the election. Rich people’s votes are predictable: Lawyers et al favor Dems generally, Doctors generally support republicans. Obviously there are exceptions, yet poor people give me a sense of what common sense is saying. With Obama, the people loved him in 08/12 though some favored Romney in 12. In 16 it was 90%+ with Trump, there were a few Clinton supporters in the clinic, but I knew Trump had it. To me no surprise. Same in 20, there was zero.zero Biden supporters among the poor. That’s how I knew 20 was a fix. This year once again, there was zero support for the old Coot Biden and surprisingly none for Kankles Kamala. The people know. Unlike 20, if Trump loses from the anger out there I suspect a Louis XVI awaits those that install another usurper. FJB
Ah, the good days, 1791!
"JUST IN: Kamala Harris hits all-time high on political betting site Polymarket despite new polling data showing Trump outperforming himself compared to 2020."
If these polling/betting sites keep topping their previous score to make their headlines, they will run out of registered voters and kill their "perceived" legitimacy. Trump received 62M votes in 2016, 75M votes in 2020, which was exceeded by Biden's supposed 81M votes.
As these numbers explode, it is easier to understand why the Dems are importing so many illegals. They have to keep up this scam because their made-up fake votes will soon exceed the US voter population.
EVERYTHING is about money in the media and political world.............everything. Anyone who thinks that polling is not corrupted and targeted to a specific result is just not paying attention. As a marketing friend of mine puts it, words matter, and changing one word in a poll or marketing campaign can give you a different result. The only poll that matters is the one on election day.
I never heard of Polymarket until hearing Clay Travis discuss it. At first I thought this was going to be some sort of "wisdom of the crowd" platform. But after Act Blue's scam of hiding hundreds of millions of dollars in illegal donations by faking small dollar donations, I now think the Dims are likely manipulating this as well.
Believe it.
"Wasn’t that the NBA finals that Harry Enten said Trump had a better chance of winning than he did winning the presidency? He no longer works at 538. CNN hired him."
Harry's Entenna was broken.
The great equalizer was at work and I salute him. I just hope He has great plans for Nov 5th.
He does.
Excellent (but easy) poll. Nice salute to RLimbaugh, you're his successor.
I MISS RUSH!!! 😩 Another noontime arrives as a brutal reminder.
Spot on Lee !!
I’ll SuperSize that Big Mac with a Root Beer! FJB and FKingCharles3 (not the dog) limeys…
FKing- good one. Didju come up with that?
There is much talk about “fear porn”, etc, especially since c*vid. Poll Porn ranks right up there now in it’s own category. If the sheeple are barraged long enough with propaganda, including tiresome “polls”, they reckon it’ll wear us down. But when you cry wolf too many times, people stop listening.
Polls are like climate change models. They tell you what the poll taker wants the outcome to be by designing the questions or skewing the demographics.
I remember in 2016 having lunch with my depressed Democrat friend and telling him that his party will learn the lesson of the recount in Detroit where the first two wards they wanted to recount had 110% of the registered voters voted. The judge refused to let the recount go forward. I told him it was clear the Dems cheated but they believed the polls and didn’t cheat enough. They would not let that happen again. And so we had the funky 2020 counting. Will the Republicans learn this time?
I doubt we will learn anything from 2020. People believe what they want to believe and too many people are scared to admit that our sacred elections are able to be manipulated, so they pretend it isn't happening. But some of the manipulation is right in front of us. Zuckerberg spends $100M to help pay for elections in certain states. Really? They couldn't run elections in those states with the resources they already had via taxes? Come on folks, money buys elections today. It takes a billion dollars to elect a person president. Where did that money actually get spent?
Way to bring it Mr.Surber !! The msm is rolling out a new poll every day telling us cackles and tampon are steam rollers and we are asphalt so just lie down and take it. PDJT and JDV take questions anywhere ,anytime from anyone only to have the answers contorted and edited for release.Thank you,Elon, Tucker, and many others for the factual TRUTH and no-spin reminders the voters need to vote as if we are down by twenty %.Make this a MAGA too BIG to RIG victory and treats to Dr.Cat.
indeed - add Charlie Kirk to your factual truth, no-spin list
Agreed. I just hope that we have more lawyer poll watchers and ballot box video cameras than the Democrats do.
"Wasn’t that the NBA finals that Harry Enten said Trump had a better chance of winning than he did winning the presidency? He no longer works at 538. CNN hired him."
Harry's Entenna was broken.
Polls are academic and should be taken and viewed like any other statistic: with a large dollop of salt, as you point out above. The other problem is no one can poll all the dead people, illegal aliens, multiple episode voters, and machine hardware and software switching/deleting/adding features that are systemic to all machines who will be voting. My guess is that, with the exception of a few states and locales, the average "R" has to be leading by at least 7-10 points in the polling before the election to win.
Danny Huckabee
Polls that are run with scientific rigor to reduce sources of bias can provide predictive insight significantly better than a guess, but they are all lagging measures of attitude and opinion which can change in one day after the poll in response to a significant event.
There are many pollsters, most of whom aren’t worth a bowl of spit, but I believe one of the best managed polling organizations is Rasmussen Reports. Again, a poll reports PREVIOUSLY held opinions from days or weeks ago so take them with a grain of salt. But, there are a few good ones that are usable for trending analysis. I trust Rasmussen.
It's not what they poll, but whom they poll. With you on Rasmussen
And how they average party views by %.
"Wasn’t that the NBA finals that Harry Enten said Trump had a better chance of winning than he did winning the presidency? He no longer works at 538. CNN hired him."
Harry's Entenna was broken.
No human has ever been able to successfully predict a future outcome with 100% accuracy. But many humans have successfully affected a future outcome, both good and bad. All it takes is the intent and the resources.
I've always wondered why we don't cheat like the Dems do? If that's the way the game is played, let the fun begin. We're late to the game but it looks like we're finally ramping up the conservative lawfare effort. That bookie halftime pearl of wisdom applies to us.
We don't because we still have a modicum of morality and ethics........................and we don't want to be Democrats. If that ever changes, the country will be no more. Like the eternal battle between good and evil, there are always those that deceive and those that fight for their beliefs.
I grew up leaving things unlocked as i was taught locks only keep honest people honest/thus daring crooks to pry open locks.
Polls and at the polls. My feeling is that Democrats have NOT legitimately won a national election in decades. They have always manipulated the inner city vote to swing elections.
Did you mean to write: "My feeling is that Democrats have NOT legitimately won ..."?
Of course that is what he meant, Wim. It makes no sense otherwise.
Give it a rest, Wim.
One of my heroes wrote: Your distancing yourself. Pigs would have to fly before I corrected him/her. The King's English is no more-no harm, no fowl.
Communicating effectively depends on clarity. Clarity dims when writers use bad grammar, punctuation and spelling -- and you just committed all three offenses, causing harm as well as foul.
There you go again-do you really think I don't know the difference between fowl and foul? You call it harm, I call it bad manners-Punctuation-your on you're own.
Polls are for strippers, “where you drink champagne and it tastes just like coca cola, C-O-L-A, cola.” Or so I’ve been told.
Your distancing yourself from champaign is suspicious with a handle of “BubblePuppy”. . . But I believe you!
I cannot confirm nor deny my thirst for the aforementioned beverage.
OOF !
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
Brilliant!!!!!!!
Aren't strippers the people work in pit mines recovering coal? You know, the guys who get to a titty bar, see a sign that says " no minors allowed" and file a grievance with the union?
Good one!
Rush had some other good ones to describe the lame stream media… Meet the Depressed was my favorite.
Now every evening my wife insists on watching ABC news with David Muir.
I just call it DNC propaganda as delivered by David Muir.
Yes, to all you say, Don Surber!
But Iooking through the lens of America’s glorious history, I’d say that when it comes to morale vs odds, guts and duty trump probabilities everytime.
“Praise the Lord and pass the ammunition.” - Lt Howell Forgy, Chaplain, USN, Pearl Harbor, Dec 7, 1941.
This is how I feel all the time, the driver of my cognitive dissonance, like what the hell happened to our country?! : But bear in mind the news is all an illusion now. Maybe it always was.
They've lied for so long and I spent a lot of my life believing them. They did used to be better, like the old clips of outing Biden for lying about his grades in law school and plagiarizing. How anyone can believe them now is mind-blowing.
Well done.. I love your writing. But I also always agree too. Down home truth.
Thank you :)